Scoreboard
Teams
Tap headers to sort. Rank 32 = most allowed (weakest defense, highlighted red).
Leaders
Anytime TD / Next to score ESTIMATE
Model (transparent, not betting advice):
λ = (season rush TD + rec TD) ÷ games played × (opponent offensive TDs allowed per game ÷ league average)
P(anytime TD) = 1 − e−λ (Poisson). "Next to score" for a team ranks players by λ share within that team.
Red-zone usage is not exposed by ESPN's free public feeds, so it is not included. All inputs come live from ESPN season stats.
λ = (season rush TD + rec TD) ÷ games played × (opponent offensive TDs allowed per game ÷ league average)
P(anytime TD) = 1 − e−λ (Poisson). "Next to score" for a team ranks players by λ share within that team.
Red-zone usage is not exposed by ESPN's free public feeds, so it is not included. All inputs come live from ESPN season stats.
Matchup history
vs
Parlay helper
Implied probability from American odds includes the book's vig. Combined probability assumes independent legs (same-game legs are usually correlated).